
Short-Term Holder SOPR (STH-SOPR) divides the aggregate USD spending value of outputs younger than 155 days by their value when created. This unitless ratio measures the profitability of spent recent coins, with 1 marking aggregate breakeven.
A rise above 1 shows recent coins being transferred at a gain, while a decline below 1 indicates realized losses in this younger group. On March 13, 2024 the ratio reached about 1.205, whereas on August 5 that year it fell to about 0.904. The contrast shows how recent holders can shift from profit realization to loss realization within months.
Coin age identifies a statistical group, not the owner's identity or intended holding period. Only outputs spent that day enter the calculation, so STH-SOPR can change even if the profitability of most recent holdings does not. Wallet operations and a changing mix of output sizes also affect the result; the 7-day average gives a steadier view.
STH-SOPR examines profit or loss on recent coins being spent. STH-MVRV compares current price with the average cost of the recent coins still held, measuring paper profitability instead.
No. It means the included outputs have a combined spending value below their combined creation value. Some outputs can still be profitable, and unspent holdings are outside this measure.
Its coins last moved within roughly five months, limiting the time for price differences to accumulate compared with long-held coins. The full-history median in this series is about 1.002; sustained small deviations can therefore be meaningful without being timing signals.