
The NVT Ratio (Network Value to Transactions) divides Bitcoin's market cap by the USD value of coins transferred on-chain that day. Much like a P/E ratio, it treats on-chain settlement as the network's earnings and shows how much valuation each dollar of usage supports.
A rising NVT means market cap is growing faster than on-chain transfer value, so valuation is stretched relative to usage; a falling NVT means active settlement backs the valuation. It climbs when price rallies without matching volume and drops on days of large transfers. Daily volume is noisy, so a moving average or the NVT Signal reads steadier.
A growing share of activity settles off-chain, inside exchanges, on the Lightning Network and in custodial products, which lifts the ratio structurally. Volume also includes non-economic moves such as wallet reshuffles within one entity, which push it down. With almost no early volume, readings once reached tens of millions, hence the default log scale.
A P/E ratio divides price by earnings to show what the market pays per unit of profit. NVT treats the USD value moved on-chain as the network's output and divides market cap by it, showing valuation relative to actual usage.
The NVT Signal divides market cap by the 90-day average of on-chain transfer value. That filters out spikes from large one-off transfers and gives a smoother trend line, while the NVT Ratio reacts more to daily changes.
More trading now settles on exchange ledgers, second layers and custodial products that leave no on-chain transfer, which shrinks the denominator. This structural shift lifts the ratio over time without necessarily meaning Bitcoin got more expensive.