
Realized Price divides Realized Cap by circulating supply, giving the average price at which every bitcoin last moved on-chain. It approximates the average cost basis of all holders.
When BTC trades far above Realized Price, the market holds large aggregate profits. As price approaches it, those profits are largely gone, and below it holders as a whole are at a loss, a condition that has historically marked bear market bottom zones. A steadily rising Realized Price shows capital entering at higher cost.
Lost coins and cheap early coins keep pulling the average down, so it sits below the cost of active investors. It only updates when coins move on-chain, so it changes slowly and is a poor guide to short-term support or resistance.
Each circulating coin is valued at the price when it last moved on-chain, the values are summed into Realized Cap, and the total is divided by circulating supply.
The market as a whole is holding unrealized losses, and the MVRV Ratio drops below 1 at the same time. Historically such periods have clustered at the tail end of bear markets.
Realized Price treats every coin equally, including dormant and lost coins. The True Market Mean removes miner issuance and down-weights inactive supply, so it usually sits higher and closer to the cost of active market participants.